Friday, October 2, 2009

NBA 2009-10 Season Preview:

Central Division



Team: Cleveland Cavaliers

Last year’s Record: 66-16 (1st in Central, 1st in East)

Offensive Rating (last year): 112.4 (4th)

Defensive Rating (last year): 102.4 (3rd)

Key Acquisitions: Shaquille O’Neal, Anthony Parker, Leon Powe, Jamario Moon

Key Losses: Ben Wallace, Wally Zzczerbiak, Sasha Pavlovic, Joe Smith

Projected Lineup:


Position

Starter

Bench

PG

Mo Williams

Anthony Parker

SG

Delonte West

Daniel Gibson

SF

LeBron James

Jamario Moon

PF

Anderson Varejao

Leon Powe

C

Shaquille O’Neal

Z. Illgauskas


Season Outlook: After a dominating regular season, the Cleveland Cavaliers’ 08-09 season ended in disappointment, as they were eliminated in the Eastern Conference Finals by Dwight Howard and the Orlando Magic. The Cavs were aggressive in the offseason, trading for Shaquille O’Neal on June 25th in exchange for Ben Wallace, Sasha Pavlovic and 2nd round pick in the 2010 draft. The hope is that Shaq’s interior presence can help slow down Howard and neutralize the matchup advantages Orlando had last year over the Cavaliers. While Shaq may provide the post defense on Howard that the Cavs lacked last year, he figures to offer little help in the way of pick and roll defense – which Orlando used to pick apart their #3 rated defense last year. The Cavaliers ranked 11th in the league in front court scoring (61.5) last year, so Shaq adds some scoring up front. Last year he averaged 18 and 8 and he still lead the league in field goal percentage (61%).


The Cavaliers also added Leon Powe and Jamario Moon to boost their frontcourt depth. Powe won’t be ready to contribute until sometime in February, but when healthy, this guy is a monster on the offensive glass and he is particularly adept at drawing fouls on opposing bigs. LeBron figures to play his usual 37+ minutes per game, but Jamario Moon will give them a solid (if unspectacular) backup. Mo Williams and Delonte West will continue to anchor the starting backcourt, but the acquisition of Anthony Parker gives them another sharpshooter from long range off the bench and a good defender whose size allows him to guard either the point or the two-guard.


With a motivated Shaq and added depth up front and in the backcourt, the Cavaliers are virtual locks to return to the Eastern Conference Finals next year. Once again, Boston and Orlando figure to compete with them for the # 1 seed.

2009-10 Prediction: 61-21 (1st in the Central, 1st in the East)







Team: Detroit Pistons

Last year’s Record: 39-43 (3rd in Central, 8th in East)

Offensive Rating (last year): 107.4 (21st)

Defensive Rating (last year): 108.0 (16th)

Key Acquisitions: Ben Gordon, Charlie Villanueva, Chris Wilcox, Ben Wallace

Key Losses: Rasheed Wallace, Allen Iverson, Antonio McDyess

Projected Lineup:

Position

Starter

Bench

PG

Rodney Stuckey

Will Bynum

SG

Richard Hamilton

Ben Gordon

SF

Tayshaun Prince

Austin Daye

PF

Charlie Villanueva

Jason Maxiell

C

Kwame Brown

Chris Wilcox


Season Outlook: Last year, the Detroit Pistons suffered their worst season in nearly a decade, as they finished with just 39 wins after 7 consecutive 50 win seasons and 6 consecutive ECF’s. Joe Dumars rolled the dice just two games into the season by trading team leader and former finals MVP Chauncey Billups to the Denver Nuggets for Allen Iverson. Needless to say, the gambled did not pay off for the 2008-09 season. Iverson couldn’t mesh in with Detroit’s team and defense first philosophy and Curry couldn’t find a consistent lineup, due to erratic play and a rash of injuries to the starters. The year (and an entire era) ended in ugly fashion for the Pistons as they lost 31 of their final 48 regular season games and were swept in the first round by the Cleveland Cavaliers.


The Pistons promise to be a far more exciting team to watch this year, with the signings of explosive guard Ben Gordon and the versatile four-man, Charlie Villanueva. John Kuester, with over 20 years of NBA coaching experience, should be a huge upgrade over rookie coach Michael Curry. In addition to their free agent signings, the Pistons are expecting contributions out of their draft picks, Austen Daye and DeJuan Summers. Summers has an NBA ready body and can play both positions. Daye has exquisite shooting skills (spot up and off the dribble) but he needs to add a lot more muscle to be able to deal with the rigors that come with NBA level basketball.


The 2009-10 Detroit Pistons should be a high scoring bunch, and they will challenge the 100 PPG threshold for the first time since 2001. Defense may prove to be an issue, but this team is a solid bet to make the postseason.


2009-10 Prediction: 46-36 (2nd in the Central, 6th in the East)



Team: Chicago Bulls

Last year’s Record: 41-41 (2nd in Central, 7th in East)

Offensive Rating (last year): 108.4 (14th)

Defensive Rating (last year): 108.7 (18th)

Key Acquisitions: Jerome James

Key Losses: Ben Gordon

Projected Lineup:

Position

Starter

Bench

PG

Derrick Rose

Lindsey Hunter

SG

John Salmons

Kirk Hinrich

SF

Luol Deng

Tim Thomas

PF

Tyrus Thomas

Brad Miller

C

Joakim Noah

Aaron Gray


Season Outlook: The Chicago Bulls turned many peoples’ heads last year when they pushed the defending NBA champion Celtics to an absolutely breathtaking 7 game series. But will the Bulls be able to build on that playoff showing? The Bulls lost leading scorer and clutch shotmaker Ben Gordon to the division rival Pistons in free agency. They didn’t really do anything in free agency to compensate for that loss. The Bulls only won 41 games last season, but played much better following the acquisition of John Salmons and Brad Miller, posting a 16-10 record post-trade.


The Bulls still lack the front court depth and scoring to really compete. I think they’re banking too much on the health of Luol Deng, and the continued development of Thomas and Noah. Rose is a stud, and will continue to blossom, but the Bulls did not improve their roster over the offseason. They are relying on too many other variables and are a fringe playoff team at best.


2009-10 Prediction: 42-40 (3rd in the Central, 8th in the East)



Team: Indiana Pacers

Last year’s Record: 36-46 (4th in Central, 9th in East)

Offensive Rating (last year): 108.1 (17th)

Defensive Rating (last year): 109.2 (19th)

Key Acquisitions: Dahntay Jones

Key Losses: Marquis Daniels, Rasho Nasterovic

Projected Lineup:

Position

Starter

Bench

PG

T.J. Ford

Earl Watson

SG

Dahntay Jones

Brandon Rush

SF

Danny Granger

Mike Dunleavy

PF

Troy Murphy

Tyler Hansbrough

C

Jeff Foster

Roy Hibbert


Season Outlook: In 2009, the Indiana Pacers suffered their third straight losing campaign and third consecutive year without making the playoffs, following a stretch in which they had made the playoffs in 16 out of 19 years.

The lone bright spot for the Pacers last year was the emergence of small forward Danny Granger, who exploded for 26 points, 5 boards and 3 dimes last year. The spike in offensive production was enough to earn Granger the “Most Improved Player” award. The Pacers featured a running attack, ranking 5th in points per game, but also among the worst defensive teams in the league (6th).


The Pacers should continue to be an explosive offensive team next year, with Troy Murphy and Brandon Rush providing the three point shooting threats alongside Granger. Dunleavy is a gifted scorer off the bench who can score in a variety of ways. Dahnty Jones was brought on strictly for defensive purposes. It’s a solid pickup, but nothing to get overly excited about.

The Pacers will rely on the continued development of Roy Hibbert and hope that lottery pick Tyler Hansbrough will do the little things necessary to win games.



2009-10 Prediction: 38-44 (4th in the Central, 10th in the East)



Team: Milwaukee Bucks

Last year’s Record: 34-48 (5th in Central, 12th in East)

Offensive Rating (last year):106.7 (23rd)

Defensive Rating (last year): 107.9 (15th)

Key Acquisitions: Carlos Delfino

Key Losses: Richard Jefferson, Charlie Villanueva


Projected Lineup:


Position

Starter

Bench

PG

Ramon Sessions

Brandon Jennings

SG

Michael Redd

Charlie Bell

SF

L. Mbah a Moute

Carlos Delfino

PF

Hakim Warrick

Joe Alexander

C

Andrew Bogut

Dan Gadzuric


Season Outlook: After a promising start to the 09 season, the Bucks season finished in disappointment, following a rash of major injuries to their starters.


The Bucks roster underwent a major overhaul this summer, losing free agent forward Charlie Villanueva to the (Central Division rival) Pistons and trading star forward Richard Jefferson to the Spurs for Bruce Bowen and Kurt Thomas… who were immediately bought out. The trade was clearly a financial one to clear cap space, which they used to resign Ramon Sessions. With an eye towards the future, the Bucks drafted talented, but volatile point guard Brandon Jennings. Jennings is an athletic specimen, but is still very raw and will take some time to develop his skills.


The Bucks have some talented youth in the backcourt, in addition the multitalented Joe Alexander, who can play the three and four positions up front. The front court is still in issue as Milwaukee lacks the depth and strength inside to really make a serious playoff push. The Bucks are going nowhere soon.


2009-10 Prediction: 24-58 (5th in Central, 15th in East)

1 comment: